California Redistricting May Help GOP’s Chances of Reclaiming House in 2022

Redistricting in California could deliver several crucial House seats to the GOP in 2022 as the state’s congressional districts are redrawn following the 2020 census.

The California Citizens Redistricting Commission will redraw some congressional district boundaries this year according to updated census numbers. The new congressional map is expected to cut into California’s 45th district, currently held by Democratic Rep. Katie Porter, and bolster numbers in one or several of the surrounding districts in and around Orange County.

Where the cuts will come out of Porter’s overpopulated county, and into which new district those voters will be placed, is difficult to predict. In some scenarios, those changes could benefit GOP challengers hoping to flip Democratic seats. Currently, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) is just a few seats shy of control in the 218-212 Democratic-controlled House.

“The southern portion of Porter’s 45th district also could go to Democratic Rep. Mike Levin’s narrowly blue 49th District, which includes southern Orange County and northern San Diego County. If that happens, it would favor Republicans Brian Maryott, a former San Juan Capistrano council member who is challenging Levin for a third time in 2022, or Oceanside City Councilman Christopher Rodriguez, who is rumored to be considering a CA-49 run,” The Orange County Register reports.

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