OPINION — We’ve assessed the 2018 campaign that began and ended with the fight for the election narrative. Our conclusion: This was not a base election. Independents decided the outcome, breaking for Democrats by 12 points.
It was a missed opportunity.
By “we” I mean the Winston Group, which on Tuesday released an extensive post-election analysis of the 2018 midterms. We looked at exit poll data from the National Election Pool and Edison Research, along with our own Winning the Issues survey, done Election Night.
Here are the takeaways. The Friday before the 2018 midterm elections, Republicans were handed a gift in the form of the November monthly jobs report. Described by a former economic adviser to Vice President Joe Biden as “pretty much everything you could want in a monthly jobs report,” it was a clear sign that Republicans’ center-right economic policies were moving the economy forward, affecting not just job growth, but finally wage growth as well. And the timing couldn’t have been better, coming just four days before the election.
Read more at Roll Call.